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Red189
128106.0
868125.4
6927113.1
Blue363
6460130.5
4028158.0
2172120.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693210100200400500600189363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#26
125.46.7
124.2130.9
Auto18.1
Teleop92.5
End18.1
blue by 32.5
4028
#22
158.06.2
130.6136.8
Auto19.4
Teleop118.7
End20.8
Second
6927
#60
113.16.0
88.494.4
Auto15.7
Teleop88.0
End10.4
blue by 17.4
6460
#31
130.58.2
101.6109.8
Auto18.9
Teleop97.4
End16.2
Third
128
#56
106.08.0
95.9103.9
Auto15.4
Teleop78.8
End12.8
blue by 14.2
2172
#33
120.27.2
102.8110.1
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed