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Red293
5811128.8
3193136.7
3397140.7
Blue295
3484138.7
1317139.7
3504150.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292296150200250350400450293295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3397
#24
140.711.9
90.6102.5
Auto13.5
Teleop109.9
End18.9
blue by 10.0
150.89.4
114.3123.8
Auto22.8
Teleop108.7
End19.8
Second
3193
#43
136.710.7
102.0112.8
Auto16.3
Teleop105.0
End16.0
blue by 2.9
1317
#10
139.75.1
96.5101.5
Auto18.1
Teleop102.4
End22.8
Third
5811
#50
128.87.4
104.5111.9
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End16.5
blue by 9.8
3484
#12
138.77.9
104.0111.9
Auto19.9
Teleop97.3
End25.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed