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Red434
3193136.7
279128.9
4611152.1
Blue278
6927113.1
6032126.2
1466138.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3342510100200400500600700800434278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.16.4
125.8132.3
Auto18.5
Teleop115.9
End19.4
red by 13.7
1466
#19
138.42.2
127.4129.6
Auto20.8
Teleop102.2
End16.5
Second
3193
#43
136.73.6
121.3124.9
Auto16.3
Teleop105.0
End16.0
red by 10.6
6032
#45
126.24.2
105.6109.9
Auto14.0
Teleop98.7
End13.9
Third
279
#49
128.93.3
111.6114.9
Auto15.5
Teleop98.7
End13.8
red by 15.8
6927
#60
113.14.7
96.9101.6
Auto15.7
Teleop88.0
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed