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Red172
4085134.3
4521126.7
128106.0
Blue355
3010150.7
4362145.3
6765121.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2783300100200400500600172355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4085
#28
134.32.5
131.5133.9
Auto19.5
Teleop101.4
End11.4
blue by 16.4
150.75.6
117.7123.4
Auto20.5
Teleop112.2
End19.9
Second
4521
#42
126.76.0
110.3116.3
Auto17.3
Teleop91.9
End15.6
blue by 18.6
4362
#16
145.35.5
129.8135.3
Auto18.5
Teleop111.5
End16.8
Third
128
#56
106.02.4
107.7110.1
Auto15.4
Teleop78.8
End12.8
blue by 15.6
6765
#29
121.66.2
104.8111.1
Auto17.9
Teleop94.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed