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Red340
868125.4
4611152.1
6765121.6
Blue258
1675136.2
2252128.9
63139.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294316100150200250350400450500340258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.16.1
132.3138.4
Auto18.5
Teleop115.9
End19.4
red by 12.5
63
#17
139.64.4
128.0132.4
Auto16.7
Teleop104.3
End23.8
Second
868
#26
125.41.1
130.2129.1
Auto18.1
Teleop92.5
End18.1
blue by 10.8
1675
#41
136.20.8
136.4135.6
Auto17.2
Teleop100.2
End21.7
Third
6765
#29
121.65.7
111.1116.8
Auto17.9
Teleop94.4
End5.3
blue by 7.4
2252
#37
128.93.0
123.1126.1
Auto16.7
Teleop95.9
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed