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Red277
451122.3
4521126.7
3324126.5
Blue312
3777117.7
3397140.7
3492123.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298295100150200250350400450500277312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4521
#42
126.72.6
116.3118.9
Auto17.3
Teleop91.9
End15.6
blue by 14.0
3397
#24
140.77.4
119.1126.5
Auto13.5
Teleop109.9
End18.9
Second
3324
#40
126.54.9
120.8125.7
Auto14.8
Teleop97.5
End15.2
red by 3.5
3492
#34
123.13.3
112.5115.8
Auto16.1
Teleop97.3
End13.1
Third
451
#57
122.32.5
110.2112.7
Auto14.8
Teleop94.9
End15.0
red by 4.6
117.70.2
107.9108.1
Auto17.6
Teleop87.7
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed