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Red268
3844112.5
379174.6
4085134.3
Blue276
677131.3
5740137.0
5811128.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3372730100200400500600268276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#1
174.66.3
149.8156.1
Auto23.9
Teleop127.7
End25.6
red by 37.6
5740
#14
137.03.8
128.3132.1
Auto20.2
Teleop101.2
End15.8
Second
4085
#28
134.30.3
133.9134.2
Auto19.5
Teleop101.4
End11.4
red by 3.1
677
#7
131.33.6
120.4124.0
Auto18.7
Teleop97.4
End17.9
Third
3844
#54
112.50.9
114.9115.8
Auto16.2
Teleop85.9
End10.7
blue by 16.3
5811
#50
128.81.5
120.7122.2
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed