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Red231
2172120.2
1466138.4
3201118.2
Blue335
3484138.7
291169.2
6084118.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277346100200400500600231335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#19
138.42.6
129.6132.2
Auto20.8
Teleop102.2
End16.5
blue by 30.8
291
#2
169.29.2
135.0144.2
Auto23.1
Teleop120.3
End27.0
Second
2172
#33
120.24.1
120.7124.8
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End13.5
blue by 18.5
3484
#12
138.74.8
123.8128.6
Auto19.9
Teleop97.3
End25.2
Third
3201
#53
118.21.9
115.4117.3
Auto16.1
Teleop88.7
End14.9
blue by 0.5
6084
#20
118.73.7
106.6110.3
Auto16.6
Teleop94.8
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed