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Red386
3940148.7
4145160.7
3266125.2
Blue268
2172120.2
4085134.3
4283101.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29727202004006008001,000386268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.713.8
94.4108.2
Auto18.0
Teleop118.0
End21.3
red by 26.4
4085
#28
134.314.0
92.5106.5
Auto19.5
Teleop101.4
End11.4
Second
3940
#21
148.714.3
89.9104.2
Auto17.9
Teleop109.4
End22.8
red by 28.5
2172
#33
120.215.9
75.391.2
Auto17.1
Teleop92.3
End13.5
Third
3266
#51
125.217.4
62.379.7
Auto15.8
Teleop93.1
End18.9
red by 23.5
4283
#44
101.717.6
60.177.7
Auto13.8
Teleop76.4
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed