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Red237
4362145.3
6927113.1
6084118.7
Blue232
1038130.2
3324126.5
5492128.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2683050100200400500600700237232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#16
145.312.9
103.7116.6
Auto18.5
Teleop111.5
End16.8
red by 15.2
1038
#18
130.215.2
81.596.7
Auto17.4
Teleop99.8
End16.2
Second
6084
#20
118.717.4
62.379.7
Auto16.6
Teleop94.8
End9.4
blue by 9.4
5492
#58
128.114.5
88.4102.9
Auto14.4
Teleop95.8
End21.1
Third
6927
#60
113.135.4
113.177.7
Auto15.7
Teleop88.0
End10.4
blue by 13.4
3324
#40
126.514.9
84.299.2
Auto14.8
Teleop97.5
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed