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Red120
3844112.5
868125.4
6460130.5
Blue437
4085134.3
144145.6
1038130.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276337100200300400500120437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6460
#31
130.54.8
126.3131.1
Auto18.9
Teleop97.4
End16.2
blue by 15.1
144
#25
145.62.9
140.2143.1
Auto18.4
Teleop109.1
End17.9
Second
868
#26
125.40.6
129.1128.4
Auto18.1
Teleop92.5
End18.1
blue by 8.9
4085
#28
134.30.9
134.2133.3
Auto19.5
Teleop101.4
End11.4
Third
3844
#54
112.50.4
115.8115.5
Auto16.2
Teleop85.9
End10.7
blue by 17.7
1038
#18
130.25.8
116.7122.5
Auto17.4
Teleop99.8
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed