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Red239
566797.4
3484138.7
2399129.9
Blue404
3266125.2
3010150.7
3777117.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283314100200400500239404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3484
#12
138.74.7
128.6133.3
Auto19.9
Teleop97.3
End25.2
blue by 12.1
150.77.0
128.8135.8
Auto20.5
Teleop112.2
End19.9
Second
2399
#38
129.90.4
128.5128.1
Auto17.0
Teleop97.3
End18.7
red by 4.7
3266
#51
125.23.0
115.4118.4
Auto15.8
Teleop93.1
End18.9
Third
5667
#61
97.42.4
100.998.6
Auto14.4
Teleop78.3
End4.4
blue by 20.3
117.71.3
108.1109.4
Auto17.6
Teleop87.7
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed