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Red388
6032126.2
4611152.1
4028158.0
Blue285
3397140.7
234156.1
4362145.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308353200400500388285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#22
158.04.2
144.9149.1
Auto19.4
Teleop118.7
End20.8
red by 1.9
234
#32
156.13.9
150.6154.5
Auto26.0
Teleop109.1
End14.0
Second
152.14.3
138.4142.7
Auto18.5
Teleop115.9
End19.4
red by 6.7
4362
#16
145.33.6
140.6144.2
Auto18.5
Teleop111.5
End16.8
Third
6032
#45
126.24.7
113.8118.5
Auto14.0
Teleop98.7
End13.9
blue by 14.5
3397
#24
140.76.1
126.5132.6
Auto13.5
Teleop109.9
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed