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Red231
128106.0
337108.0
3260132.7
Blue253
4283101.7
5740137.0
3504150.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions227351100200300400500600231253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3260
#52
132.70.7
129.9130.7
Auto16.8
Teleop97.9
End16.6
blue by 18.1
150.84.1
142.8146.9
Auto22.8
Teleop108.7
End19.8
Second
337
#48
108.04.2
114.0109.8
Auto16.6
Teleop80.9
End13.4
blue by 29.0
5740
#14
137.03.0
132.1135.1
Auto20.2
Teleop101.2
End15.8
Third
128
#56
106.02.3
110.4108.1
Auto15.4
Teleop78.8
End12.8
red by 4.3
4283
#44
101.70.8
101.6100.8
Auto13.8
Teleop76.4
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed