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Red296
2252128.9
3010150.7
451122.3
Blue233
4028158.0
3201118.2
48141.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314332200250350400450296233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.76.4
135.8142.2
Auto20.5
Teleop112.2
End19.9
blue by 7.2
4028
#22
158.04.1
149.1153.2
Auto19.4
Teleop118.7
End20.8
Second
2252
#37
128.90.2
128.3128.5
Auto16.7
Teleop95.9
End19.2
blue by 12.3
48
#23
141.20.3
143.6143.3
Auto21.6
Teleop106.1
End12.3
Third
451
#57
122.34.5
114.5119.0
Auto14.8
Teleop94.9
End15.0
red by 4.1
3201
#53
118.21.7
117.0118.7
Auto16.1
Teleop88.7
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed