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Red177
554135.6
6834106.1
5740137.0
Blue189
6460130.5
3484138.7
4362145.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277344100200400500600177189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5740
#14
137.01.6
135.1136.7
Auto20.2
Teleop101.2
End15.8
blue by 8.3
4362
#16
145.31.3
144.2145.5
Auto18.5
Teleop111.5
End16.8
Second
554
#11
135.63.6
128.3131.9
Auto17.1
Teleop102.0
End22.4
blue by 3.0
3484
#12
138.73.5
133.3136.9
Auto19.9
Teleop97.3
End25.2
Third
6834
#59
106.10.6
108.0107.4
Auto13.2
Teleop82.0
End12.8
blue by 24.4
6460
#31
130.50.4
131.1131.5
Auto18.9
Teleop97.4
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed