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Red291
4085134.3
234156.1
4121124.1
Blue387
3138119.0
1014146.8
4284108.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372242100200300400500600291387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#32
156.11.6
154.5156.1
Auto26.0
Teleop109.1
End14.0
red by 9.3
1014
#15
146.81.7
136.4138.1
Auto17.4
Teleop109.6
End21.1
Second
4085
#28
134.31.0
133.3134.3
Auto19.5
Teleop101.4
End11.4
red by 15.3
3138
#36
119.04.2
122.9118.8
Auto16.5
Teleop85.5
End18.4
Third
4121
#47
124.10.2
125.4125.3
Auto16.8
Teleop85.7
End24.4
red by 15.3
4284
#46
108.80.2
106.1105.9
Auto15.2
Teleop88.4
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed