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Red197
128106.0
1466138.4
5811128.8
Blue368
247149.4
3397140.7
3260132.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268365100200300400500600197368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#19
138.43.6
132.4136.0
Auto20.8
Teleop102.2
End16.5
blue by 11.0
247
#13
149.42.4
144.9147.3
Auto18.8
Teleop108.0
End21.0
Second
5811
#50
128.81.8
123.6125.4
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End16.5
blue by 11.9
3397
#24
140.73.0
132.6135.5
Auto13.5
Teleop109.9
End18.9
Third
128
#56
106.00.9
108.1107.2
Auto15.4
Teleop78.8
End12.8
blue by 26.6
3260
#52
132.71.0
130.7131.6
Auto16.8
Teleop97.9
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed