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Red216
3266125.2
6084118.7
1675136.2
Blue369
5413144.8
5740137.0
302167.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242387100200300500600216369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#41
136.21.1
135.1136.2
Auto17.2
Teleop100.2
End21.7
blue by 31.5
302
#5
167.74.2
154.8159.0
Auto16.6
Teleop133.4
End19.2
Second
3266
#51
125.23.8
118.4122.2
Auto15.8
Teleop93.1
End18.9
blue by 19.6
5413
#30
144.80.1
144.0143.9
Auto17.0
Teleop108.3
End18.0
Third
6084
#20
118.71.1
117.6118.7
Auto16.6
Teleop94.8
End9.4
blue by 18.3
5740
#14
137.00.1
136.7136.6
Auto20.2
Teleop101.2
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed