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Qual 832018 Miami Valley Regional
Red307
3010150.7
4283101.7
4467129.4
Blue272
279128.9
451122.3
4362145.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281346100200400500600307272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3010
#4
150.74.5
142.2→146.7
Auto20.5
Teleop112.2
End19.9
red by 5.4
4362
#16
145.30.4
145.5→145.1
Auto18.5
Teleop111.5
End16.8
Second
4467
#39
129.42.7
126.7→129.4
Auto18.2
Teleop96.2
End14.0
red by 0.5
279
#49
128.91.7
127.1→128.8
Auto15.5
Teleop98.7
End13.8
Third
4283
#44
101.71.6
100.1→101.7
Auto13.8
Teleop76.4
End13.3
blue by 20.6
451
#57
122.33.3
119.0→122.3
Auto14.8
Teleop94.9
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed