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Qual 842018 Miami Valley Regional
Red395
291169.2
3138119.0
4085134.3
Blue143
566797.4
3193136.7
6936120.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384234100200300500600395143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
#2
169.25.7
158.6→164.3
Auto23.1
Teleop120.3
End27.0
red by 32.5
3193
#43
136.70.4
136.3→136.7
Auto16.3
Teleop105.0
End16.0
Second
4085
#28
134.30.4
134.3→133.8
Auto19.5
Teleop101.4
End11.4
red by 13.6
6936
#35
120.74.6
116.1→120.7
Auto15.9
Teleop86.0
End24.6
Third
3138
#36
119.00.3
118.8→119.0
Auto16.5
Teleop85.5
End18.4
red by 21.6
5667
#61
97.40.4
97.8→97.4
Auto14.4
Teleop78.3
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed