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Red181
3397140.7
5492128.1
2603110.4
Blue437
3492123.1
1038130.2
2252128.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843440100200400500600181437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3397
#24
140.72.3
135.5137.9
Auto13.5
Teleop109.9
End18.9
red by 10.5
1038
#18
130.22.5
127.6130.2
Auto17.4
Teleop99.8
End16.2
Second
5492
#58
128.12.6
125.5128.1
Auto14.4
Teleop95.8
End21.1
blue by 0.9
2252
#37
128.90.5
128.5128.9
Auto16.7
Teleop95.9
End19.2
Third
2603
#55
110.40.1
110.5110.4
Auto14.2
Teleop82.8
End15.6
blue by 12.6
3492
#34
123.11.6
121.5123.1
Auto16.1
Teleop97.3
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed