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Red465
4028158.0
5811128.8
1317139.7
Blue169
3940148.7
4284108.8
4611152.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339302100200400500600465169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#22
158.01.1
153.2154.2
Auto19.4
Teleop118.7
End20.8
red by 5.9
152.14.3
146.8151.1
Auto18.5
Teleop115.9
End19.4
Second
1317
#10
139.75.4
131.5136.9
Auto18.1
Teleop102.4
End22.8
blue by 9.0
3940
#21
148.71.7
150.4148.7
Auto17.9
Teleop109.4
End22.8
Third
5811
#50
128.80.5
125.4125.9
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End16.5
red by 20.0
4284
#46
108.82.9
105.9108.8
Auto15.2
Teleop88.4
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed