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Red159
3504150.8
3266125.2
3844112.5
Blue450
1014146.8
379174.6
868125.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543870100200300500600159450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.81.6
149.2150.7
Auto22.8
Teleop108.7
End19.8
blue by 23.8
379
#1
174.64.9
164.6169.5
Auto23.9
Teleop127.7
End25.6
Second
3266
#51
125.23.0
122.2125.2
Auto15.8
Teleop93.1
End18.9
blue by 21.6
1014
#15
146.84.2
138.1142.3
Auto17.4
Teleop109.6
End21.1
Third
3844
#54
112.50.3
112.8112.5
Auto16.2
Teleop85.9
End10.7
blue by 12.9
868
#26
125.40.1
125.5125.4
Auto18.1
Teleop92.5
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsEarned