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Red206
6927113.1
3260132.7
48141.2
Blue286
1559140.7
4085134.3
302167.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403870100200300500600206286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#23
141.20.4
141.6141.2
Auto21.6
Teleop106.1
End12.3
blue by 26.4
302
#5
167.73.6
159.0162.6
Auto16.6
Teleop133.4
End19.2
Second
3260
#52
132.71.0
131.6132.7
Auto16.8
Teleop97.9
End16.6
blue by 8.0
1559
#27
140.71.1
141.8140.7
Auto21.5
Teleop103.0
End17.2
Third
6927
#60
113.11.0
114.1113.1
Auto15.7
Teleop88.0
End10.4
blue by 21.2
4085
#28
134.30.7
133.8134.5
Auto19.5
Teleop101.4
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed85%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed