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Red269
3266144.1
2252157.8
4780122.2
Blue391
1014151.0
6567112.8
4611162.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329321250300350400450269391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#20
157.80.5
160.6160.1
Auto19.3
Teleop110.4
End22.5
blue by 4.3
162.20.3
161.5161.2
Auto19.5
Teleop126.6
End13.8
Second
3266
#21
144.11.1
142.3143.4
Auto20.0
Teleop104.1
End17.8
blue by 6.8
1014
#11
151.01.7
153.1151.4
Auto18.0
Teleop115.6
End15.5
Third
4780
#14
122.20.2
122.0122.2
Auto17.4
Teleop85.0
End20.3
red by 9.4
6567
#28
112.80.2
111.6111.8
Auto15.1
Teleop91.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed