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Red364
4467134.1
4121134.5
1038138.4
Blue175
1787104.7
3591113.6
5667101.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3871960100300500600364175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1038
#18
138.41.6
141.7140.1
Auto16.4
Teleop107.7
End12.2
red by 24.8
3591
#23
113.60.5
114.1113.6
Auto15.6
Teleop87.5
End9.1
Second
134.50.7
133.3134.0
Auto18.0
Teleop98.6
End15.7
red by 29.8
1787
#27
104.71.6
107.2105.7
Auto17.1
Teleop75.7
End13.5
Third
134.10.4
130.2130.6
Auto18.5
Teleop100.7
End16.9
red by 32.7
5667
#29
101.50.9
102.4101.5
Auto17.5
Teleop76.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed