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Red264
4145177.7
3814139.3
5811131.1
Blue211
6567112.8
677140.8
3266144.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3762770100200500600700264211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.71.0
174.6175.6
Auto22.2
Teleop138.9
End16.4
red by 33.5
3266
#21
144.10.7
143.4144.1
Auto20.0
Teleop104.1
End17.8
Second
3814
#22
139.30.7
142.1141.4
Auto20.6
Teleop103.5
End13.1
blue by 1.5
677
#16
140.80.7
140.3141.0
Auto19.8
Teleop101.3
End17.6
Third
131.10.4
133.7133.3
Auto14.7
Teleop105.3
End10.3
red by 18.3
6567
#28
112.81.0
111.8112.8
Auto15.1
Teleop91.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed