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Red238
4028202.7
1038138.4
6916116.5
Blue293
1317144.5
1014151.0
3138121.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3622640100200300400500600700238293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#10
202.71.1
204.8203.7
Auto22.6
Teleop151.6
End25.6
red by 51.8
1014
#11
151.00.4
151.4151.0
Auto18.0
Teleop115.6
End15.5
Second
1038
#18
138.41.0
140.1139.1
Auto16.4
Teleop107.7
End12.2
blue by 6.1
1317
#13
144.50.4
145.1144.7
Auto15.6
Teleop107.3
End18.1
Third
6916
#24
116.50.2
117.1117.0
Auto18.1
Teleop87.5
End8.6
blue by 4.9
121.41.7
123.8122.2
Auto15.8
Teleop96.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed