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Red196
6916116.5
4145177.7
6567112.8
Blue348
4150139.3
4611162.2
4028202.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403960100200300500600700800196348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.70.5
174.0174.5
Auto22.2
Teleop138.9
End16.4
blue by 25.0
4028
#10
202.71.5
207.7206.2
Auto22.6
Teleop151.6
End25.6
Second
6916
#24
116.50.9
119.1118.2
Auto18.1
Teleop87.5
End8.6
blue by 45.6
162.20.1
161.6161.5
Auto19.5
Teleop126.6
End13.8
Third
6567
#28
112.80.6
111.0111.6
Auto15.1
Teleop91.7
End6.7
blue by 26.5
139.31.1
142.0140.9
Auto16.3
Teleop107.2
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed