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Red295
677140.8
3814139.3
1787104.7
Blue301
2399137.7
3138121.4
2252157.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2743790100200500600295301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
677
#16
140.80.8
138.6139.4
Auto19.8
Teleop101.3
End17.6
blue by 17.0
2252
#20
157.80.2
160.4160.6
Auto19.3
Teleop110.4
End22.5
Second
3814
#22
139.30.8
143.3142.5
Auto20.6
Teleop103.5
End13.1
red by 1.6
137.70.9
136.4137.3
Auto20.7
Teleop99.3
End14.9
Third
1787
#27
104.72.2
109.5107.2
Auto17.1
Teleop75.7
End13.5
blue by 16.8
121.40.8
125.9125.1
Auto15.8
Teleop96.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed