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Red365
1806171.7
2352178.2
932156.0
Blue395
3478205.4
3593154.6
6026141.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378356200250300400450500550600365395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.20.5
176.8177.3
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End22.9
blue by 27.2
205.40.3
204.6204.9
Auto26.4
Teleop151.8
End26.7
Second
171.70.8
169.3170.1
Auto21.2
Teleop130.7
End21.5
red by 17.1
154.60.3
153.6154.0
Auto22.0
Teleop116.3
End18.2
Third
932
#32
156.00.2
155.4155.6
Auto21.3
Teleop118.4
End18.4
red by 14.4
6026
#29
141.60.1
141.8141.7
Auto17.0
Teleop107.2
End17.3