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Quarterfinal 4-32018 Oklahoma Regional
Red440
3478205.4
3593154.6
6026141.6
Blue308
3160116.4
2765151.6
5801160.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions401289100200500600700440308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#6
205.40.3
203.4→203.7
Auto26.4
Teleop151.8
End26.7
red by 45.4
5801
#25
160.10.2
159.8→160.1
Auto18.2
Teleop127.1
End15.0
Second
3593
#4
154.60.3
152.3→152.6
Auto22.0
Teleop116.3
End18.2
red by 3.0
2765
#9
151.60.6
151.0→151.6
Auto18.8
Teleop112.4
End22.7
Third
6026
#29
141.60.3
142.6→142.3
Auto17.0
Teleop107.2
End17.3
red by 25.2
3160
#12
116.40.6
115.8→116.4
Auto18.2
Teleop84.5
End15.5