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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Oklahoma Regional
Red426
3478205.4
3593154.6
6026141.6
Blue309
3160116.4
2765151.6
5801160.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395293100200500600700426309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#6
205.40.2
203.2→203.4
Auto26.4
Teleop151.8
End26.7
red by 45.4
5801
#25
160.10.3
159.6→159.8
Auto18.2
Teleop127.1
End15.0
Second
3593
#4
154.60.3
152.0→152.3
Auto22.0
Teleop116.3
End18.2
red by 3.0
2765
#9
151.60.6
150.4→151.0
Auto18.8
Teleop112.4
End22.7
Third
6026
#29
141.60.5
143.1→142.6
Auto17.0
Teleop107.2
End17.3
red by 25.2
3160
#12
116.40.6
115.2→115.8
Auto18.2
Teleop84.5
End15.5