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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Oklahoma Regional
Red266
1561130.3
5550149.3
2395128.9
Blue369
5930134.5
2359148.0
1209112.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3292980200400600800266369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5550
#7
149.30.5
148.8→149.3
Auto19.8
Teleop108.5
End23.1
red by 1.3
2359
#8
148.00.6
146.1→146.7
Auto17.6
Teleop114.6
End21.7
Second
1561
#23
130.30.4
129.9→130.3
Auto16.2
Teleop99.9
End13.3
blue by 4.1
5930
#18
134.50.7
132.1→132.8
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
Third
2395
#15
128.90.3
128.6→128.9
Auto14.8
Teleop95.3
End19.3
red by 16.5
1209
#42
112.40.4
111.0→111.4
Auto14.7
Teleop91.2
End9.7