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Red348
3931162.7
1939144.0
3660135.5
Blue421
3478205.4
3593154.6
6026141.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312392100200500600348421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#11
162.70.3
161.6162.0
Auto27.9
Teleop116.7
End19.8
blue by 42.7
205.40.3
203.7204.0
Auto26.4
Teleop151.8
End26.7
Second
1939
#10
144.00.4
142.9143.2
Auto17.4
Teleop109.8
End17.8
blue by 10.6
154.60.3
152.6153.0
Auto22.0
Teleop116.3
End18.2
Third
3660
#49
135.50.9
132.8133.7
Auto15.4
Teleop106.2
End14.2
blue by 6.1
6026
#29
141.60.2
142.3142.1
Auto17.0
Teleop107.2
End17.3