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Red266
31113.7
932156.0
5437140.9
Blue272
2765151.6
5611107.1
2395128.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3252620100200400500600700266272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
932
#32
156.00.0
155.0155.0
Auto21.3
Teleop118.4
End18.4
red by 4.4
151.62.0
139.6141.6
Auto18.8
Teleop112.4
End22.7
Second
5437
#58
140.91.1
138.9140.0
Auto18.7
Teleop101.0
End21.7
red by 12.0
2395
#15
128.90.0
123.7123.8
Auto14.8
Teleop95.3
End19.3
Third
31
#41
113.70.2
107.7107.9
Auto13.5
Teleop92.3
End10.6
red by 6.5
5611
#50
107.111.6
77.388.9
Auto12.6
Teleop88.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed