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Qual 142018 Oklahoma Regional
Red465
5098129.8
5930134.5
2352178.2
Blue157
1806171.7
6730108.9
6891104.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3272650100200400500600700465157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2352
#1
178.20.8
161.0→161.8
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End22.9
red by 6.6
1806
#5
171.70.4
154.7→155.0
Auto21.2
Teleop130.7
End21.5
Second
5930
#18
134.59.6
87.4→97.0
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
red by 25.6
6730
#48
108.98.6
81.3→89.9
Auto13.8
Teleop83.5
End14.4
Third
5098
#17
129.81.3
118.5→119.9
Auto15.9
Teleop99.7
End14.7
red by 25.6
6891
#53
104.27.6
77.7→85.4
Auto15.5
Teleop75.7
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed