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Red218
1750120.0
3931162.7
3163115.7
Blue276
2395128.9
3284148.0
3593154.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2883250100200400500600218276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#11
162.70.9
157.0156.1
Auto27.9
Teleop116.7
End19.8
red by 8.1
154.60.7
144.1144.9
Auto22.0
Teleop116.3
End18.2
Second
1750
#30
120.07.8
94.2102.0
Auto15.5
Teleop90.6
End12.9
blue by 28.0
3284
#31
148.01.1
153.5152.3
Auto19.5
Teleop110.1
End18.4
Third
3163
#35
115.76.9
99.1105.9
Auto16.0
Teleop91.8
End9.8
blue by 13.1
2395
#15
128.90.3
123.8124.1
Auto14.8
Teleop95.3
End19.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed