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Qual 302018 Oklahoma Regional
Red195
144896.9
3160116.4
2333158.5
Blue274
2341146.2
400594.9
5611107.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311252100200400500195274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2333
#14
158.51.7
149.4→151.1
Auto18.5
Teleop123.8
End15.2
red by 12.4
2341
#22
146.22.6
136.3→139.0
Auto18.1
Teleop109.8
End20.3
Second
3160
#12
116.40.6
112.4→113.0
Auto18.2
Teleop84.5
End15.5
red by 9.2
5611
#50
107.18.4
88.9→97.2
Auto12.6
Teleop88.6
End4.1
Third
1448
#39
96.96.1
91.0→97.1
Auto15.1
Teleop77.1
End2.6
red by 2.1
4005
#47
94.92.9
104.7→101.8
Auto14.3
Teleop74.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed