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Qual 472018 Oklahoma Regional
Red368
3931162.7
6891104.2
2333158.5
Blue249
3247130.2
5730114.8
3160116.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3492490100200300400500600368249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#11
162.70.2
155.1→155.3
Auto27.9
Teleop116.7
End19.8
red by 32.5
3247
#28
130.25.7
117.9→123.6
Auto15.4
Teleop97.7
End20.7
Second
2333
#14
158.51.7
152.1→153.8
Auto18.5
Teleop123.8
End15.2
red by 42.2
3160
#12
116.40.4
113.1→112.7
Auto18.2
Teleop84.5
End15.5
Third
6891
#53
104.23.5
90.4→93.9
Auto15.5
Teleop75.7
End13.9
blue by 10.6
5730
#46
114.83.6
110.4→114.0
Auto14.8
Teleop91.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed