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Red374
2352178.2
1561130.3
5550149.3
Blue279
346598.0
2795121.4
3284148.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3762390100200300500600374279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.21.9
165.5167.4
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End22.9
red by 30.2
3284
#31
148.01.5
151.1149.6
Auto19.5
Teleop110.1
End18.4
Second
149.31.0
140.3141.3
Auto19.8
Teleop108.5
End23.1
red by 27.9
2795
#27
121.44.4
116.0120.4
Auto14.8
Teleop97.0
End8.2
Third
1561
#23
130.35.4
112.4117.8
Auto16.2
Teleop99.9
End13.3
red by 32.4
3465
#61
98.01.2
102.5103.7
Auto12.7
Teleop79.3
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed