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Red357
2352178.2
2424108.1
2765151.6
Blue273
3931162.7
349893.0
2359148.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337286100200400500600357273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.21.4
169.4170.8
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End22.9
red by 15.5
3931
#11
162.71.4
155.9157.3
Auto27.9
Teleop116.7
End19.8
Second
151.60.9
146.7147.6
Auto18.8
Teleop112.4
End22.7
red by 3.6
148.01.2
141.0142.2
Auto17.6
Teleop114.6
End21.7
Third
2424
#43
108.10.1
108.0108.1
Auto13.1
Teleop82.8
End12.7
red by 15.1
3498
#57
93.03.1
95.992.8
Auto12.1
Teleop72.7
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed