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Red346
2795121.4
5930134.5
1939144.0
Blue237
400594.9
3478205.4
315299.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283279200250300350400346237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#10
144.00.2
140.9141.2
Auto17.4
Teleop109.8
End17.8
blue by 61.4
205.40.2
202.1202.2
Auto26.4
Teleop151.8
End26.7
Second
5930
#18
134.53.9
120.3124.2
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
red by 34.8
3152
#36
99.71.9
97.999.8
Auto11.6
Teleop79.3
End10.2
Third
2795
#27
121.41.9
122.7120.8
Auto14.8
Teleop97.0
End8.2
red by 26.5
4005
#47
94.90.3
96.896.4
Auto14.3
Teleop74.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed