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Red128
2165127.2
680997.6
5611107.1
Blue459
3284148.0
1296168.1
6730108.9
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2353360100200300400500600128459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2165
#52
127.22.2
125.1127.3
Auto17.1
Teleop95.1
End14.4
blue by 40.9
168.11.5
161.2162.6
Auto19.5
Teleop129.5
End20.6
Second
5611
#50
107.10.4
108.0108.4
Auto12.6
Teleop88.6
End4.1
blue by 40.9
3284
#31
148.00.8
148.2147.4
Auto19.5
Teleop110.1
End18.4
Third
6809
#54
97.64.3
92.696.9
Auto11.7
Teleop77.1
End12.9
blue by 11.4
6730
#48
108.90.4
105.7105.4
Auto13.8
Teleop83.5
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed