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Red239
346598.0
3247130.2
2354127.3
Blue363
5212126.1
1987164.1
5098129.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573490100200300400500600239363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3247
#28
130.22.2
126.0128.2
Auto15.4
Teleop97.7
End20.7
blue by 33.9
164.10.9
158.8159.7
Auto20.6
Teleop123.9
End20.3
Second
2354
#37
127.34.1
122.4126.5
Auto13.5
Teleop98.9
End13.9
blue by 2.5
5098
#17
129.80.6
126.2126.8
Auto15.9
Teleop99.7
End14.7
Third
3465
#61
98.02.3
104.0101.7
Auto12.7
Teleop79.3
End5.9
blue by 28.2
5212
#21
126.10.6
126.5125.9
Auto16.5
Teleop92.4
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed