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Red405
1785110.9
2352178.2
4523134.3
Blue167
2333158.5
2461107.3
2354127.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32631905001,0001,5002,000405167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.21.7
170.8172.5
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End22.9
red by 19.7
2333
#14
158.51.4
157.4158.7
Auto18.5
Teleop123.8
End15.2
Second
4523
#19
134.31.2
135.9134.7
Auto16.0
Teleop101.6
End14.8
red by 7.0
2354
#37
127.32.0
126.5128.5
Auto13.5
Teleop98.9
End13.9
Third
1785
#45
110.90.5
109.4109.9
Auto16.5
Teleop86.2
End10.3
red by 3.7
2461
#59
107.33.2
104.8108.0
Auto12.4
Teleop78.4
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed