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Red180
315299.7
680997.6
6891104.2
Blue370
2986111.2
3660135.5
3163115.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237304100200400500180370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6891
#53
104.22.9
100.6103.6
Auto15.5
Teleop75.7
End13.9
blue by 31.3
3660
#49
135.51.5
126.3127.8
Auto15.4
Teleop106.2
End14.2
Second
3152
#36
99.70.6
99.8100.4
Auto11.6
Teleop79.3
End10.2
blue by 16.1
3163
#35
115.70.3
114.8114.4
Auto16.0
Teleop91.8
End9.8
Third
6809
#54
97.61.1
96.998.0
Auto11.7
Teleop77.1
End12.9
blue by 13.7
2986
#56
111.21.0
111.4110.5
Auto12.5
Teleop81.7
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
4%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed