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Qual 82018 Oklahoma Regional
Red278
3593154.6
315299.7
6026141.6
Blue265
5212126.1
2352178.2
5611107.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311305200250350400450278265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3593
#4
154.60.2
143.5→143.7
Auto22.0
Teleop116.3
End18.2
blue by 23.6
2352
#1
178.21.0
160.0→161.0
Auto23.8
Teleop130.7
End22.9
Second
6026
#29
141.614.7
86.7→101.4
Auto17.0
Teleop107.2
End17.3
red by 15.5
5212
#21
126.11.8
121.4→123.2
Auto16.5
Teleop92.4
End16.8
Third
3152
#36
99.717.7
59.4→77.1
Auto11.6
Teleop79.3
End10.2
blue by 7.5
5611
#50
107.117.7
59.6→77.3
Auto12.6
Teleop88.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed