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Red233
5621110.0
2373126.3
3247130.2
Blue392
3507114.2
2341146.2
1806171.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2723300100200300400500233392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3247
#28
130.215.8
76.692.4
Auto15.4
Teleop97.7
End20.7
blue by 41.5
171.70.4
155.0154.7
Auto21.2
Teleop130.7
End21.5
Second
2373
#38
126.315.7
77.593.2
Auto17.8
Teleop95.0
End12.0
blue by 19.9
2341
#22
146.22.4
131.3133.7
Auto18.1
Teleop109.8
End20.3
Third
5621
#34
110.017.4
62.379.7
Auto14.6
Teleop79.9
End16.3
blue by 4.2
3507
#44
114.20.9
121.0120.1
Auto15.5
Teleop87.2
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed